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Red34
23468.6
198220.4
171013.4
Blue44
199411.1
199616.4
233412.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44401020305060703444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.40.8
20.319.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
16.40.3
17.517.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1710
#12
13.40.8
14.113.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
2334
#43
12.60.3
12.312.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2346
#61
8.60.8
9.48.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
1994
#49
11.10.3
10.811.1
Auto
Teleop
End