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Red54
160623.8
35314.1
27122.1
Blue24
49617.7
146816.3
287518.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454510203040506070805424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.80.8
10.811.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
2875
#15
18.61.8
15.113.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
271
#6
22.10.7
20.521.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
496
#33
17.71.8
15.113.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
353
#46
14.10.8
13.514.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
1468
#12
16.31.8
15.113.4
Auto
Teleop
End