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Red0
204312.4
20849.3
28719.5
Blue62
191612.4
196512.2
115322.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4634020406080100062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2043
Unranked
12.43.7
14.110.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.6
1153
Unranked
22.92.2
17.119.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2871
Unranked
9.53.7
16.512.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
1916
Unranked
12.42.2
10.412.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2084
Unranked
9.33.7
13.59.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
1965
Unranked
12.22.2
8.110.3
Auto
Teleop
End