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Red71
6127.7
196512.2
210316.7
Blue41
176117.8
70118.6
52910.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions435202060801007141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61
Unranked
27.72.2
20.522.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.1
701
Unranked
18.60.8
21.420.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2103
Unranked
16.72.2
14.016.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
1761
Unranked
17.80.5
18.317.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1965
Unranked
12.22.2
10.012.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
529
Unranked
10.30.8
11.110.3
Auto
Teleop
End