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Red64
191612.4
12518.3
34817.0
Blue32
210415.3
8816.9
28768.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4445102030405060706432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
Unranked
18.31.6
18.620.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
88
Unranked
16.91.0
18.217.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
348
Unranked
17.01.6
15.417.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
2104
Unranked
15.31.0
16.415.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1916
Unranked
12.41.6
10.812.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
2876
Unranked
8.91.0
10.08.9
Auto
Teleop
End