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Red52
86223.0
276720.8
90426.1
Blue54
218811.7
14119.8
191830.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70552040801001205254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
904
#5
26.10.8
21.520.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
30.80.2
24.023.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
862
#11
23.00.8
27.326.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
141
#4
19.80.2
18.017.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2767
#16
20.80.8
19.018.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.1
2188
#21
11.70.2
15.114.9
Auto
Teleop
End