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Red40
171820.2
224617.9
207518.9
Blue26
264518.5
150217.5
29597.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6143020801004026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1718
#12
20.20.9
22.121.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
2645
#20
18.51.0
21.220.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2075
#17
18.90.9
19.318.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
1502
#37
17.51.0
20.419.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2246
#14
17.90.9
17.416.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.4
2959
#26
7.51.0
4.03.1
Auto
Teleop
End