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Red40
277117.8
150420.9
201513.1
Blue56
247418.6
70323.0
240516.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51450204060801004056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1504
#19
20.90.5
21.220.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
703
#8
23.00.5
16.216.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2771
#22
17.80.5
15.815.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
18.60.5
16.216.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2015
#29
13.10.5
12.912.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
2405
#28
16.00.5
13.514.0
Auto
Teleop
End