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Red26
251310.4
247222.6
305813.6
Blue66
266719.4
304220.3
249913.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504930406070802666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2472
#11
22.61.9
23.621.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
20.31.4
19.620.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3058
#36
13.61.9
13.711.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.8
2667
#26
19.41.4
17.518.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2513
#51
10.41.9
11.89.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
2499
#48
13.41.4
12.614.0
Auto
Teleop
End