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Red102
222018.9
281717.5
251220.4
Blue63
87813.3
250629.1
311611.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4755020408010012010263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2512
#23
20.44.5
15.419.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.7
2506
#16
29.10.5
29.429.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2220
#32
18.94.5
16.621.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
878
#41
13.30.8
13.814.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2817
#17
17.52.7
15.718.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
3116
#50
11.30.8
10.511.3
Auto
Teleop
End