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Red65
9321.6
282516.2
25614.8
Blue38
218110.9
270510.7
251114.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403910203050606538

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93
#34
21.61.3
19.320.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
2511
#12
14.60.1
17.117.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2825
#14
16.22.1
12.514.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
2181
#43
10.90.1
11.211.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2561
#37
4.82.1
7.69.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
2705
#51
10.70.1
11.311.1
Auto
Teleop
End