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Red54
245020.0
308110.3
285522.4
Blue60
282314.6
217717.1
247016.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504202060801005460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.40.4
19.519.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
2177
#32
17.10.9
16.317.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2450
#15
20.00.4
16.717.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
2470
#25
16.31.4
14.015.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3081
#48
10.30.4
12.613.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
2823
#40
14.61.4
12.514.0
Auto
Teleop
End