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Red50
286117.3
282516.2
257428.2
Blue30
253120.1
217717.1
298715.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585102040801001205030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.20.4
27.727.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.1
2531
#11
20.11.8
18.816.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2861
#17
17.30.6
15.114.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2177
#32
17.11.1
17.116.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2825
#14
16.20.6
14.714.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
2987
#36
15.41.8
16.014.2
Auto
Teleop
End