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Red34
309011.9
282314.6
250011.6
Blue45
198622.1
250215.1
254512.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385202060801001203445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2823
#40
14.60.5
14.013.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
1986
#10
22.10.2
21.521.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3090
#27
11.90.5
12.712.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
2502
#29
15.10.4
13.413.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2500
#46
11.60.3
12.912.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
2545
#49
12.20.4
14.814.4
Auto
Teleop
End