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Quarterfinal 2-22009 St. Louis Regional
Red40
178516.0
118221.9
93122.6
Blue61
175621.4
181015.0
96715.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62512040801001204061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
931
#7
22.60.3
22.7→22.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.1
1756
#10
21.40.2
21.4→21.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1182
#8
21.90.4
22.0→21.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.2
967
#22
15.70.2
15.7→15.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1785
#17
16.00.3
16.1→15.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.9
1810
#9
15.00.1
15.0→15.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—