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Red50
120826.3
180633.3
172317.6
Blue87
204129.0
221914.2
277522.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions806640601001205087

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.30.5
33.533.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
29.00.3
29.629.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
26.30.5
26.426.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
22.90.4
23.623.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1723
#27
17.60.5
17.817.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
2219
#19
14.20.4
14.915.3
Auto
Teleop
End