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Red70
307519.6
170618.6
12135.7
Blue121
191838.6
85229.2
151124.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions728605010015020070121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
121
#15
35.70.2
36.936.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
38.61.9
36.338.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3075
#28
19.60.2
20.720.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.5
852
#19
29.21.9
26.828.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1706
#77
18.60.2
16.015.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
1511
#12
24.51.9
20.722.5
Auto
Teleop
End