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Red62
36524.6
200417.4
173230.6
Blue70
76829.5
171431.8
162923.0
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6383020401001201401606270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1732
#38
30.60.2
26.125.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
1714
#11
31.80.5
29.529.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
365
#54
24.60.2
24.524.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.0
768
#70
29.50.5
27.026.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2004
#59
17.40.3
15.415.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
23.00.5
24.323.7
Auto
Teleop
End