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Red54
150617.5
84222.0
8613.0
Blue116
287520.4
156922.3
108627.2
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43640208010012014054116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#35
22.00.5
20.721.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
1086
#66
27.24.0
24.428.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1506
#64
17.50.4
14.314.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
1569
#55
22.32.8
18.621.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
86
#40
13.00.5
11.111.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
2875
#82
20.42.8
17.920.7
Auto
Teleop
End