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Red86
173022.9
206717.0
171431.8
Blue53
15916.9
287520.4
170618.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71552040801001208653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1714
#11
31.80.9
30.531.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.3
2875
#82
20.40.2
22.822.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1730
#44
22.90.9
22.022.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
1706
#77
18.60.2
17.117.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2067
#62
17.00.9
16.217.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
159
#72
16.90.2
17.016.8
Auto
Teleop
End