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Red52
182414.1
5821.7
206712.0
Blue26
192212.9
81112.6
66314.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4646203040506070805226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
Unranked
21.70.5
17.117.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
663
Unranked
14.21.7
14.212.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1824
Unranked
14.10.5
17.017.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
1922
UnrankedSur
12.91.7
17.015.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2067
Unranked
12.00.5
11.512.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
811
Unranked
12.61.7
15.513.8
Auto
Teleop
End