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Red64
127620.5
8713.9
172118.2
Blue42
10589.6
17217.3
307414.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464002060806442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1276
Unranked
20.51.6
14.816.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
172
Unranked
17.30.1
13.713.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1721
Unranked
18.21.6
14.616.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
3074
Unranked
14.40.1
12.812.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
87
UnrankedSur
13.91.6
15.617.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
1058
Unranked
9.60.1
14.514.6
Auto
Teleop
End