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Red58
172917.2
183116.8
151717.5
Blue26
10589.6
81112.6
113816.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484102060801005826

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1517
Unranked
17.50.9
17.718.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
1138
Unranked
16.61.3
15.714.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1729
Unranked
17.20.9
13.814.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
811
Unranked
12.61.3
12.711.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1831
Unranked
16.80.9
15.316.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
1058
Unranked
9.61.3
13.412.1
Auto
Teleop
End