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Red84
15125.4
151925.9
57118.9
Blue16
124710.7
151218.3
206712.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5642020801001208416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1519
Unranked
25.92.5
20.122.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.6
1512
Unranked
18.32.3
19.216.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
151
Unranked
25.42.5
19.321.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.5
2067
Unranked
12.02.3
13.911.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
571
Unranked
18.92.5
14.917.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.1
1247
Unranked
10.72.3
11.08.6
Auto
Teleop
End