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Red60
81112.6
262120.1
2029.5
Blue22
8713.9
107321.1
24114.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5551204060801006022

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20
Unranked
29.50.4
29.029.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.4
1073
Unranked
21.12.4
20.417.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2621
Unranked
20.10.4
14.414.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
241
Unranked
14.72.4
15.312.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
811
Unranked
12.60.4
11.311.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
87
Unranked
13.92.4
15.713.2
Auto
Teleop
End