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Red60
50118.8
151717.5
23820.5
Blue48
182414.1
31915.8
172118.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5549204060801006048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
Unranked
20.50.5
17.718.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
1721
Unranked
18.20.1
16.816.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
501
Unranked
18.80.5
18.118.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
319
Unranked
15.80.1
17.417.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1517
Unranked
17.50.5
18.619.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
1824
Unranked
14.10.1
15.415.3
Auto
Teleop
End