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Red46
108912.5
180717.2
245813.3
Blue16
218016.9
22412.8
29317.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5150203040604616

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1807
Unranked
17.20.4
16.015.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
293
Unranked
17.32.9
18.515.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2458
Unranked
13.30.4
15.214.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
2180
Unranked
16.92.9
19.416.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1089
Unranked
12.50.4
19.719.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
224
Unranked
12.82.9
12.49.6
Auto
Teleop
End