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Qual 312009 New Jersey Regional
Red6
29612.2
16899.8
165610.5
Blue74
55512.3
42316.5
81623.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38480206080100120674

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
296
Unranked
12.22.8
14.6→11.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 11.1
816
Unranked
23.22.3
18.9→21.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1656
Unranked
10.52.8
15.5→12.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 6.0
423
Unranked
16.52.3
12.8→15.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1689
Unranked
9.82.8
9.1→6.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.5
555
Unranked
12.32.3
15.4→17.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—