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Red0
6139.5
29612.2
108912.5
Blue67
136617.0
167615.2
61222.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4746010203040607080067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1089
Unranked
12.53.8
19.315.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.9
612
Unranked
22.41.7
17.218.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
296
Unranked
12.23.8
11.98.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
1366
Unranked
17.01.7
14.215.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
613
Unranked
9.53.8
14.811.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
1676
Unranked
15.21.7
15.617.3
Auto
Teleop
End