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Qual 402009 New Jersey Regional
Red46
245813.3
1117.8
236313.6
Blue64
188115.6
86919.9
136721.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4544204060804664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
Unranked
17.80.1
20.0→20.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.6
1367
Unranked
21.41.6
17.8→19.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2363
Unranked
13.60.1
9.8→9.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 6.3
869
Unranked
19.91.6
16.8→18.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2458
Unranked
13.30.1
14.8→14.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.3
1881
Unranked
15.61.6
10.5→12.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—