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Red56
168412.7
125031.9
160211.0
Blue58
118822.0
30609.7
45315.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505020304060705658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1250
Unranked
31.90.3
30.931.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.9
1188
Unranked
22.00.4
19.419.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1684
Unranked
12.70.3
9.09.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
453
Unranked
15.90.4
19.319.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1602
Unranked
11.00.3
10.210.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
3060
Unranked
9.70.4
11.612.0
Auto
Teleop
End