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Red40
236917.9
235415.8
235218.4
Blue44
237617.8
279313.9
238917.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5449203040607080904044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2352
#11
18.40.4
18.918.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
17.80.2
18.017.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
17.90.3
18.418.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2376
#25
17.80.1
17.917.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2354
#21
15.80.3
16.316.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
2793
#33
13.90.1
14.113.9
Auto
Teleop
End