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Red58
233320.3
93220.9
282916.6
Blue36
3116.6
242419.2
239612.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43421020305060705836

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
932
#14
20.91.3
16.117.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
2424
#12
19.20.6
15.114.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2333
#16
20.31.3
13.414.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
31
#22
16.60.6
13.713.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
16.62.7
16.613.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
2396
#49
12.00.6
13.813.2
Auto
Teleop
End