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Red60
174222.7
239119.2
277713.2
Blue44
175012.4
246812.4
239813.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403801020305060706044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.71.7
14.015.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.7
2398
#30
13.10.5
12.412.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
19.21.7
13.014.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
1750
#31
12.40.5
11.912.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2777
#26
13.21.0
13.214.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
2468
#36
12.40.5
14.214.6
Auto
Teleop
End