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Red40
235911.4
237216.4
235415.8
Blue68
242419.2
236917.9
282115.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45410102030506070804068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2372
#41
16.40.4
14.313.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
2424
#12
19.22.2
14.616.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2354
#21
15.80.4
15.114.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
17.92.2
14.917.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2359
#46
11.40.4
15.415.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
2821
#37
15.22.2
12.114.3
Auto
Teleop
End