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Red54
200414.3
233011.2
239813.1
Blue42
27798.7
234315.5
279513.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43380102030506070805442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2004
#28
14.31.0
13.514.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
2343
#20
15.50.3
13.113.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2398
#30
13.11.0
14.215.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2795
#40
13.20.3
13.013.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2330
#43
11.21.0
14.615.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
2779
#47
8.70.3
12.112.4
Auto
Teleop
End