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Red54
234315.5
243515.1
243623.4
Blue44
238917.8
279313.9
235218.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions535230406070805444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.1
21.922.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
2352
#11
18.40.7
20.920.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2343
#20
15.50.1
16.516.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
17.80.7
17.416.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2435
#23
15.10.1
14.814.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
2793
#33
13.90.7
13.713.0
Auto
Teleop
End