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Red36
282115.2
27798.7
142911.5
Blue64
238214.9
234115.9
166613.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42401020305060703664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2821
#37
15.23.1
15.212.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
2341
#27
15.92.0
12.914.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1429
#45
11.50.5
16.516.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
2382
#38
14.92.0
13.115.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2779
#47
8.73.0
9.112.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
1666
#44
13.52.0
14.316.3
Auto
Teleop
End