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Red60
233011.2
238917.8
156124.8
Blue50
279313.9
298611.8
237216.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423802060801006050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.81.6
14.415.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.5
2372
#41
16.41.0
13.414.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
17.81.6
13.915.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
2793
#33
13.90.4
13.913.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2330
#43
11.21.6
13.014.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
2986
#24
11.81.7
11.813.5
Auto
Teleop
End