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Red54
91915.2
133421.8
150324.6
Blue52
207616.9
183513.5
262521.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions684202060801001205452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1503
#15
24.60.5
23.422.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
2625
#26
21.00.5
19.419.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
21.80.5
21.921.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
2076
#33
16.90.3
12.813.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
919
#24
15.20.9
19.518.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
1835
#31
13.50.5
13.413.9
Auto
Teleop
End