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Qual 432009 Greater Toronto Regional
Red68
112631.0
78118.7
124610.7
Blue79
285214.4
107515.9
130519.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions604602040801006879

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1126
#23
31.00.5
28.5→29.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 11.3
1305
#11
19.71.6
17.8→19.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
781
#41
18.70.5
20.1→20.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.8
1075
#34
15.91.6
16.9→18.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1246
#58
10.70.5
9.5→10.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.8
2852
#14
14.42.6
13.2→15.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—