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Red28
140418.0
132510.2
262613.3
Blue89
155919.5
153519.3
114123.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496002040801002889

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1404
#28
18.01.1
22.020.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
1141
#19
23.51.5
21.322.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2626
#51
13.31.9
14.813.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
1559
#30
19.51.5
18.019.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1325
#36
10.21.9
13.611.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.1
19.31.5
19.220.7
Auto
Teleop
End