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Red53
201315.6
184614.4
218512.3
Blue82
150324.6
151811.9
263411.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4543102030506070805382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2013
#16
15.60.4
15.716.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.0
1503
#15
24.61.9
22.924.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1846
#50
14.40.7
14.715.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
1518
#32
11.91.9
9.511.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2185
#46
12.30.4
14.414.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
2634
#53
11.83.2
10.714.0
Auto
Teleop
End