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Quarterfinal 1-12009 Oregon Regional
Red42
263516.9
198323.9
131827.2
Blue50
219215.6
285013.6
286519.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66470204060801001204250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1318
#1
27.20.6
25.8→25.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.0
2865
#9
19.20.0
19.6→19.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1983
#19
23.90.6
22.6→22.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.4
2192
#11
15.60.0
16.0→16.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2635
#22
16.90.6
15.4→14.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.3
2850
#16
13.60.0
14.0→14.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—