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Red36
84714.3
252113.4
214712.6
Blue66
19216.6
48821.0
219215.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415002060801001201403666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
847
#38
14.30.5
14.814.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.7
488
#27
21.01.4
19.320.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2521
#47
13.40.5
14.013.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
192
#45
16.61.4
15.116.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2147
#53
12.60.5
13.813.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
2192
#11
15.61.4
14.516.0
Auto
Teleop
End