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Qual 12009 Oregon Regional
Red30
159514.7
154411.9
156912.7
Blue66
84714.3
213016.9
291515.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38381020305060703066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1595
#51
14.70.6
12.8→12.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.1
2130
#44
16.92.3
12.5→14.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1569
#43
12.70.6
13.4→12.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.0
2915
#36
15.62.3
17.2→14.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1544
#25
11.90.6
11.2→10.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.4
847
#38
14.32.3
13.1→15.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—