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Red32
95710.4
214712.6
154017.1
Blue54
255712.9
285013.6
273315.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433902060801003254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1540
#32
17.10.9
18.817.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
2733
#14
15.31.5
15.313.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2147
#53
12.60.9
11.210.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
2850
#16
13.60.2
13.613.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
957
#54
10.40.9
12.311.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
2557
#33
12.91.2
14.315.5
Auto
Teleop
End