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Quarterfinal 1-12009 Philadelphia Regional
Red62
10338.6
115327.7
70815.4
Blue40
192325.9
27224.5
34121.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87722040601001201401606240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
#1
38.60.4
39.6→39.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.7
1923
#21
25.90.6
26.6→26.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1153
#2
27.70.4
28.7→28.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.2
272
#13
24.50.6
25.2→24.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
708
#31
15.40.4
16.4→16.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 6.2
341
#50
21.60.6
22.3→21.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—