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Quarterfinal 1-22009 Philadelphia Regional
Red82
115327.7
10338.6
70815.4
Blue64
27224.5
192325.9
34121.6
69%Model gave it31%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86702040601001201408264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
#1
38.60.0
39.2→39.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.7
1923
#21
25.90.1
26.0→25.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1153
#2
27.70.0
28.3→28.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.2
272
#13
24.50.1
24.6→24.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
708
#31
15.40.0
16.1→16.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 6.2
341
#50
21.60.1
21.7→21.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—