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Qual 12009 Philadelphia Regional
Red88
127930.7
50913.5
222914.2
Blue58
83418.7
42314.6
22411.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504102060808858

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1279
#6
30.73.0
19.7→22.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.0
834
#22
18.71.3
12.6→13.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2229
#34
14.23.3
12.8→16.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.4
423
#45
14.61.3
16.5→17.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
509
#48
13.52.8
16.3→19.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.9
224
#41
11.61.3
12.8→14.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—